By Prof. Kristjan Jespersen and Michele Sacchi
In an era where climate change and social inequality dominate global conversations, corporations are increasingly finding themselves at the center of scrutiny, with stakeholders demanding accountability not just for profit-making but also for their environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. The stage is set: NGOs (Non-Governmental Organizations) are leveraging their influence to drive corporate change through activism. This activism can have significant consequences on a firm’s financial performance, yet its true impact has remained underexplored. Research focusing on European public firms reveals how NGO campaigns influence stock values, offering insights into how companies navigate the pressures of sustainability-driven stakeholders.
The research delves into the relationship between NGO activism and the stock performance of 474 public European companies from 2014 to 2023. Through an extensive dataset of 13,907 NGO campaigns, the study employs event study methodology to measure how these campaigns impact companies’ cumulative abnormal returns (CAR). The findings paint a nuanced picture of activism’s influence on financial markets, highlighting key variables such as media coverage, NGO size, and the role of positive sentiment in shaping market reactions.
1. NGO Campaigns and Positive Stock Performance
Contrary to the negative expectations often associated with activism, the study found that, on average, NGO campaigns positively impacted firms’ stock prices. This indicates that, while companies may face short-term backlash from activist campaigns, the long-term benefits of aligning with NGO goals can be economically rewarding. Firms with robust stakeholder relationships or those that engage proactively with NGOs are better positioned to benefit from these campaigns. This finding emphasizes the evolving role of corporations in balancing profit with purpose, demonstrating that businesses can enhance their financial performance by responding to societal and environmental concerns.
2. The Influence of Media Coverage
Interestingly, the study found that increased media coverage tends to reduce the positive impact of NGO campaigns on stock prices. While it might be assumed that heightened attention to NGO-led campaigns would amplify their effect, this finding suggests that extensive media coverage may create a perception of overexposure or sensationalism, diluting the campaign’s credibility. Investors may view such coverage with skepticism, fearing that it could lead to reputational damage or regulatory scrutiny. Therefore, firms under intense media scrutiny might be more vulnerable to market volatility, while those flying under the radar benefit from quieter, more focused activism.
3. The Role of NGO Size and Origin
Another critical finding is that the size and origin of the NGO significantly influence campaign outcomes. Large NGOs, particularly those based in the US, have a greater positive impact on European firms’ stock value. This could be attributed to the larger resources and greater reach these NGOs possess, allowing them to mount more effective and high-profile campaigns. Moreover, US-based NGOs, which often set global agendas, bring international attention to issues, thereby increasing the stakes for companies. European firms, therefore, benefit from associating with well-established NGOs that hold substantial sway in global sustainability debates.
4. Sentiment Matters: Positive vs. Negative Perceptions
The research highlights the critical role of sentiment in NGO campaigns. Campaigns framed with positive sentiment, such as collaborative efforts to enhance sustainability or improve social welfare, significantly boost stock prices. On the other hand, campaigns characterized by negative sentiment, such as those highlighting corporate failures or malpractices, tend to have less favorable or even detrimental effects on stock performance. This suggests that the narrative surrounding activism is crucial—firms that engage in positive storytelling and meaningful partnerships with NGOs can leverage activism to improve their market performance.
Why This Matters for Academics and Practitioners
The findings of this study are highly relevant to both academia and business practitioners. For scholars, it adds a quantitative layer to the growing body of literature on ESG performance, highlighting the tangible financial impact of NGO activism. This underscores the crucial role NGOs play as experts and advocates in setting new regulatory standards, helping define best practices in ESG. Furthermore, the study emphasizes the need for further research into secondary stakeholder influence, particularly how non-governmental players can reshape corporate strategies and market behavior. This shift reflects a new concept of the rational market player within the realm of Social Finance, where companies balance financial goals with social and environmental responsibilities. For practitioners, the research offers valuable insights into navigating the complexities of NGO activism. It shows that companies can mitigate risks and even capitalize on NGO campaigns by aligning their business strategies with societal and environmental goals.
As the world moves towards a more sustainable and socially responsible future, the relationship between corporations and NGOs will continue to evolve. Firms that embrace NGO activism as a strategic asset rather than a liability stand to gain not only in public perception but also in financial performance, driving long-term value creation in the process.
Acknowledgment:
We gratefully acknowledge Sigwatch for providing the dataset on NGO activism, which was instrumental in supporting the analysis and findings presented in this article.
About the Authors:
Prof. Kristjan Jespersen is an Associate Professor in Sustainable Innovation and Entrepreneurship at the Copenhagen Business School (CBS). Kristjan is an Associate Professor at the Copenhagen Business School (CBS). As a primary area of focus, he studies the growing development and management of Ecosystem Services in developing countries. Within the field, Kristjan focuses his attention on the institutional legitimacy of such initiatives and the overall compensation tools used to ensure compliance. He has a background in International Relations and Economics.
Michele Sacchi has worked in the finance team at By-Expressen, a bike messenger logistics and distribution collective company in Copenhagen. He is currently approaching the non-profit environment by participating in a volunteering project about microcredit in India. He is concluding his master’s degree in Applied Economics and Finance from Copenhagen Business School (CBS), where his research explored the impact of NGO activism on public European firms’ stock value, particularly highlighting the important role the NGOs should hold in reshaping the existing financial system. Michele also holds a minor in ESG and Impact Investments, during which he had the opportunity to develop this project with the team and Professor Kristjan Jespersen.